Tropical Storm Dolly is headed for landfall along the western Gulf Coast of Mexico, but is unlikely to strengthen to a hurricane.
Hurricane Hunter reconnaissance aircraft early Tuesday morning found maximum sustained winds surrounding the circulation had strengthened sufficiently to make Dolly the fourth named storm of the 2014 Atlantic hurricane season.
They had also found the center of Dolly to have reformed about 100 miles northwest of the previous center estimate. This is not uncommon occurrence in organizing tropical cyclones, particularly those experiencing wind shear.
Tropical Storm Dolly is moving to the west-northwest at 10-15 mph. The government of Mexico has issued a tropical storm warning for its Gulf Coast from Tuxpan, Veracruz northward to Barra El Mezquital, Tamaulipas.
Dolly does not have time to strengthen appreciably (in terms of winds) before reaching the western shores of the Gulf of Mexico, south of the U.S.-Mexico border early Wednesday. In addition, northerly winds aloft will prevent the cyclone from organizing into a more symmetrical system. As a result, the main threat for those in its path will be very heavy rainfall.
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